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Food Security and Malnutrition in 2026: The Global, Africa and Somali Crisis

 Food Security and Malnutrition in 2026: The Global, Africa and Somali Crisis

By Dr. Khalid Sheikh Ali Dirie
September 2026

From global hunger to Somalia's nutrition emergency: the latest evidence shows why food security must be treated as a public health priority.

Introduction

Food security and malnutrition remain among the world's most important public health challenges.

The latest State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026 (SOFI 2026) provides a mixed picture. Global hunger declined for the third consecutive year in 2025, but the improvement remains uneven and insufficient to put the world firmly on track for the 2030 Zero Hunger goal.

An estimated 645 million people experienced hunger in 2025, equivalent to 7.8% of the world's population. At the same time, approximately 2.1 billion people experienced moderate or severe food insecurity.

The situation is particularly concerning in Africa. About 309 million people in Africa experienced hunger in 2025, while 66.6% of the continent's population could not afford a healthy diet.

In Somalia, the situation has deteriorated sharply in 2026. The latest IPC analysis estimates that 6 million people—31% of the analysed population—were facing IPC Phase 3 or above between April and June 2026, including approximately 1.9 million people in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Nearly 1.88 million children are expected to require treatment for acute malnutrition during 2026.

Somalia therefore provides a powerful example of how climate shocks, conflict, displacement, food prices, disease and inadequate access to essential services can interact to produce a major nutrition emergency.

What Is Food Security?

Food security means that people have reliable access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs for an active and healthy life.

Food security has four interconnected dimensions:

1. Food availability

Is enough food physically available through agriculture, livestock, markets, imports or humanitarian assistance?

2. Food access

Can households physically and economically obtain the food they need?

3. Food utilization

Can people consume food safely and effectively, supported by adequate healthcare, clean water, sanitation and appropriate feeding practices?

4. Stability

Can households maintain access to food over time despite drought, floods, conflict, displacement, economic shocks or other crises?

This means that food security is much more than simply producing enough food.

A country can have food available in its markets while millions of poor households remain unable to afford a healthy diet.

What Is Malnutrition?

Malnutrition refers to deficiencies, excesses or imbalances in a person's intake of energy and nutrients.

It includes several major forms:

  • Stunting – impaired linear growth caused by chronic undernutrition and repeated or prolonged health insults.

  • Wasting – low weight-for-height, usually associated with acute undernutrition.

  • Micronutrient deficiencies – deficiencies of essential vitamins and minerals.

  • Overweight and obesity – forms of malnutrition associated with excessive energy intake and poor-quality diets.

This is why the modern nutrition challenge is sometimes described as the triple burden of malnutrition: undernutrition, micronutrient deficiencies and overweight/obesity can coexist within the same country, community or household.

Global Food Security in 2026

Hunger is declining—but remains at an extremely high level

According to SOFI 2026, approximately 645 million people experienced hunger in 2025, representing 7.8% of the world's population.

This was approximately 14 million fewer people than in 2024 and about 43 million fewer than the 2022 peak.

Moderate or severe food insecurity also declined.

Approximately 2.1 billion people experienced moderate or severe food insecurity in 2025, around 86 million fewer people than the previous year.

These improvements are important.

However, the global situation remains far from the Sustainable Development Goal of Zero Hunger by 2030.

Progress is also highly uneven between regions.

The Cost of a Healthy Diet

One of the most important themes of SOFI 2026 is that food availability does not automatically mean nutritional security.

The global average cost of a healthy diet reached approximately 4.28 purchasing-power-parity (PPP) dollars per person per day in 2025.

Despite some improvement, approximately 2.69 billion people were still unable to afford a healthy diet.

The cost of nutritious foods is influenced by much more than agricultural production.

Transport, processing, storage, wholesale, retail, energy infrastructure and food losses can all increase the price consumers ultimately pay.

According to SOFI 2026, post-farmgate activities account for approximately 70–75% of consumer food prices, highlighting the importance of efficient food value chains.

Why does this matter?

A low-income household may be able to purchase enough calories from inexpensive staple foods while being unable to regularly afford:

  • vegetables

  • fruits

  • legumes

  • eggs

  • milk

  • meat

  • fish

  • other nutrient-dense foods

This creates an important distinction:

Food security is not only about having enough calories. It is also about having access to nutritious and diverse diets.

Global Child Malnutrition

The latest UNICEF-WHO-World Bank Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates provide another important picture of the global nutrition burden.

In 2024:

  • 150.2 million children under five were stunted

  • 42.8 million children were wasted

  • 12.2 million experienced severe wasting

  • 35.5 million children were living with overweight

Approximately 23.2% of children under five were stunted globally.

Africa and Asia together account for the overwhelming majority of children affected by stunting.

The world is also not on track to achieve the 2030 nutrition targets. Current progress suggests that the global target for reducing the number of stunted children will be missed by a substantial margin unless progress accelerates.

Acute Food Crises Around the World

The Global Report on Food Crises 2026 highlights the continuing severity of acute food insecurity.

In 2025, approximately:

266 million people

experienced high levels of acute food insecurity across 47 countries and territories.

35.5 million children

experienced acute malnutrition, including approximately 10 million children with severe acute malnutrition.

The report identifies conflict as a major driver of acute food insecurity and malnutrition.

Other major drivers include:

  • extreme weather

  • economic shocks

  • food price volatility

  • displacement

  • disease

  • restricted humanitarian access

In 2025, famine was identified in Gaza Governorate and parts of Sudan, illustrating how conflict and restricted humanitarian access can rapidly transform food insecurity into catastrophic hunger.

Africa: The World's Major Hunger Challenge

Africa remains central to the global food-security crisis.

In 2025, approximately 309 million people in Africa experienced hunger.

The continent's hunger prevalence declined slightly from 20.3% in 2024 to 20.0% in 2025—the first interruption in the continent's upward trend since 2017.

However, the improvement is still modest.

Africa's rapidly growing population means that the absolute number of people experiencing hunger can remain extremely high even when prevalence decreases.

The Healthy Diet Challenge in Africa

The affordability of nutritious food is one of Africa's most important nutrition challenges.

In 2025, approximately 66.6% of Africa's population could not afford a healthy diet.

This is more than twice the levels observed in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean.

This highlights a major structural problem.

The question is not simply:

"Is there enough food?"

It is also:

"Can ordinary households afford a nutritious diet?"

Why Is Food Insecurity So Severe in Africa?

Several factors interact.

Conflict

Conflict can destroy agricultural production, disrupt markets, displace communities and restrict humanitarian access.

Climate change

Droughts, floods, heatwaves and unpredictable rainfall increasingly affect agriculture and pastoral livelihoods.

Poverty

Low household income limits access to nutritious food, healthcare, water and sanitation.

Food prices

When food prices increase faster than household incomes, families may reduce both the quantity and quality of food they consume.

Weak health systems

Malnutrition and disease reinforce each other.

A malnourished child is more vulnerable to infection.

An infected child may have reduced appetite, increased nutritional requirements and impaired nutrient absorption.

This creates a vicious cycle:

Poor diet → malnutrition → infection → increased nutritional needs → worsening malnutrition.

Somalia: A Major Food and Nutrition Emergency in 2026.

Somalia is experiencing one of the world's most concerning food and nutrition situations in 2026.

The latest IPC analysis shows a significant deterioration compared with earlier projections.

Between April and June 2026, approximately:

6 million people

were facing IPC Phase 3 or above, representing 31% of the analysed population.

This included approximately:

1.9 million people

in IPC Phase 4 – Emergency.

The deterioration has been associated with several overlapping shocks, including:

  • poor Gu rainfall

  • sharp food-price increases

  • currency depreciation

  • conflict-related displacement

  • rising flood risks

  • insufficient humanitarian assistance

Somalia's Child Malnutrition Crisis

The nutrition situation is particularly alarming among children.

The updated IPC analysis estimates that:

1.88 million children

will require treatment for acute malnutrition during 2026.

This includes approximately:

  • 492,900 children with severe acute malnutrition

  • 1.385 million children with moderate acute malnutrition

This represents an increase of approximately 42,000 children compared with the previous projection.

These numbers demonstrate why nutrition services must remain closely connected to healthcare, immunization, WASH and disease surveillance.

Burhakaba: An Extremely Critical Situation

The situation in Burhakaba District in Bay Region requires particular attention.

The latest IPC analysis classifies Burhakaba at:

IPC Acute Malnutrition Phase 5 – Extremely Critical

The analysis also identifies a risk of famine under a plausible worst-case scenario.

This distinction is important.

A risk of famine under a worst-case scenario is not the same as a declaration that famine is currently occurring nationally.

The risk is linked to possible deterioration involving rainfall, food prices and humanitarian assistance.

The Somalia Crisis Is More Than a Food Problem

Somalia's situation demonstrates why food security must be viewed as a public health issue.

Food insecurity interacts with:

Malnutrition

Children do not receive adequate quantities or diversity of nutrients.

Infectious disease

Malnutrition increases vulnerability to infections.

Immunization gaps

Vaccine-preventable diseases can have particularly severe consequences among malnourished children.

WASH conditions

Unsafe water and inadequate sanitation increase diarrhoeal disease and other infections.

Displacement

Displaced families may lose access to livelihoods, markets, healthcare and social support.

Climate shocks

Drought and flooding can simultaneously reduce household income and increase disease and displacement.

The Food Security–Malnutrition–Disease Cycle

The relationship can be summarized as:

Climate shock / conflict

Loss of livelihoods

Reduced household income

Reduced food access

Poor dietary diversity

Malnutrition

Increased susceptibility to infection

Disease and increased nutritional requirements

Worsening malnutrition

Increased risk of complications and death

Breaking this cycle requires interventions across multiple sectors.

What Needs to Be Done?

1. Strengthen nutrition surveillance

Regular monitoring should identify changes in:

  • acute malnutrition

  • food consumption

  • food prices

  • disease outbreaks

  • rainfall

  • displacement

  • household livelihoods

Early warning systems are most effective when they lead to early action.

2. Expand treatment for acute malnutrition

High-risk communities need reliable access to:

  • Community Management of Acute Malnutrition (CMAM)

  • outpatient therapeutic programmes

  • stabilization centres

  • screening

  • referral services

  • infant and young child feeding support

3. Integrate nutrition with primary healthcare

Nutrition programmes should not operate in isolation.

They should be integrated with:

  • immunization

  • antenatal care

  • child health

  • infectious disease prevention

  • WASH

  • maternal nutrition

  • health education

4. Protect breastfeeding and improve complementary feeding

Appropriate infant and young child feeding is fundamental to preventing malnutrition.

Children aged 6–23 months require diverse, nutrient-dense complementary foods in addition to continued breastfeeding.

However, dietary diversity remains inadequate for many children globally.

5. Make healthy diets more affordable

Long-term solutions must address the structural costs of nutritious food.

This requires investment in:

  • agriculture

  • livestock

  • irrigation

  • roads

  • food storage

  • cold chains

  • local markets

  • food processing

  • social protection

6. Strengthen WASH services

Safe water, sanitation and hygiene are essential components of nutrition programming.

Reducing diarrhoeal disease and other infections can help prevent the deterioration of nutritional status.

7. Strengthen immunization

Immunization should remain an essential component of child survival strategies in food-insecure communities.

Preventing measles and other vaccine-preventable diseases is particularly important for children affected by malnutrition.

8. Invest in climate resilience

Somalia needs long-term investment in:

  • drought-resilient agriculture

  • livestock resilience

  • water infrastructure

  • climate information

  • flood preparedness

  • anticipatory action

  • social protection

  • resilient health systems

The Role of Public Health Professionals

Public health professionals have a critical role in addressing food insecurity and malnutrition.

Their work should include:

  • nutrition surveillance

  • disease surveillance

  • outbreak investigation

  • health education

  • immunization

  • maternal and child health

  • WASH promotion

  • risk communication

  • emergency preparedness

  • programme monitoring

  • data analysis

  • evidence-based policy development

At hospital level, healthcare professionals can also strengthen routine screening for malnutrition and referral of high-risk children.

Hospitals can become important points for identifying children who are experiencing nutritional deterioration before complications become life-threatening.

From Humanitarian Assistance to Long-Term Resilience

Emergency humanitarian assistance remains essential when people are experiencing severe food insecurity.

But emergency assistance alone cannot solve the underlying causes.

The longer-term pathway should move from:

Emergency response → Recovery → Resilience → Sustainable food systems

For Somalia, this means strengthening the ability of households and communities to withstand the next drought, flood, conflict-related disruption or food-price shock.

The latest FSNAU and IPC evidence reinforces the importance of continuous food-security and nutrition surveillance.

What the 2026 Evidence Tells Us

The global picture is neither entirely negative nor reassuring.

There has been measurable progress.

Global hunger declined for the third consecutive year.

But hundreds of millions of people remain hungry, billions cannot afford healthy diets, and acute food crises remain concentrated in fragile and conflict-affected settings.

Africa faces a particularly severe structural challenge.

And Somalia demonstrates what happens when multiple shocks occur simultaneously.

The country is dealing with the combined effects of:

climate variability + conflict + displacement + poverty + high food prices + disease + limited humanitarian assistance.

Conclusion

Food security is not simply an agricultural issue.

It is a health issue, nutrition issue, economic issue, climate issue and development issue.

The latest 2026 evidence shows that approximately 645 million people experienced hunger globally in 2025, while 2.1 billion experienced moderate or severe food insecurity.

In Africa, approximately 309 million people experienced hunger, and 66.6% of the population could not afford a healthy diet in 2025.

In Somalia, the situation is particularly urgent. Approximately 6 million people were facing IPC Phase 3 or above between April and June 2026, including around 1.9 million people in Emergency. Nearly 1.88 million children are expected to require treatment for acute malnutrition during 2026.

The experience of Somalia also demonstrates that food insecurity cannot be addressed through food assistance alone.

The response must combine:

Food security + nutrition + healthcare + immunization + WASH + disease surveillance + social protection + climate resilience.

Ultimately, achieving food security means creating systems in which people can consistently access affordable, safe, diverse and nutritious food, even when communities face economic, climatic or humanitarian shocks.

Food security is health security.

Nutrition is an investment in human capital.

And preventing malnutrition is one of the most important investments a country can make in its future.

Key 2026 Statistics

IndicatorLatest estimate
Global hunger, 2025645 million people
Global hunger prevalence7.8%
Moderate/severe food insecurity, 20252.1 billion people
People unable to afford a healthy diet, 20252.69 billion
Africa experiencing hunger, 2025309 million
Africa unable to afford a healthy diet, 202566.6%
Global children under 5 stunted, 2024150.2 million
Global children under 5 wasted, 202442.8 million
Global children under 5 overweight, 202435.5 million
Somalia IPC Phase 3+, Apr–Jun 20266 million
Somalia IPC Phase 4, Apr–Jun 2026~1.9 million
Somalia children needing acute-malnutrition treatment, 2026~1.88 million
Somalia children with SAM, 2026~492,900
Burhakaba acute malnutrition classificationIPC AMN Phase 5 – Extremely Critical

Important: The global food-security figures above are primarily for 2025, the latest year reported in SOFI 2026. The child malnutrition estimates are primarily for 2024, from the latest UNICEF-WHO-World Bank JME dataset. Somalia's food-security and acute-malnutrition figures are 2026 IPC projections/updates. These different reference years should not be presented as if they were measurements from one common year.

Recommended Sources and Further Reading

FAO – State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026
FAO: The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026

WHO – SOFI 2026
WHO: The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2026

UNICEF/WHO/World Bank – Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates
Latest Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates

Global Report on Food Crises 2026
Global Report on Food Crises 2026

IPC – Somalia Food Security and Malnutrition 2026
IPC Somalia: Acute Food Insecurity and Malnutrition Update

IPC – Somalia Acute Malnutrition Data
IPC Somalia Acute Malnutrition Projection Update

FSNAU – Somalia Food Security and Nutrition Analysis
FSNAU Somalia

WFP – Somalia 2026 Food and Nutrition Crisis
WFP Somalia Crisis Update


Comments

  1. Incredible work by Dr. Khalid Sheikh Ali Dirie! Positioning food security and malnutrition not just as humanitarian challenges, but as core public health priorities backed by clear evidence, is crucial. Addressing the immediate nutrition emergency in Somalia alongside systemic regional crises across Africa requires this exact kind of rigorous, data-driven advocacy. Thank you for continuing to shed light on such a vital issue.

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